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Afghanistan’s current Ministry of Mines and Petroleum has identified an abundance of lithium reserves in provinces like Helmand, Nuristan, and Ghazni. Meanwhile, interest from major regional powers like India and China in Afghanistan’s lithium has provoked a debate over the best path forward for the country.
Afghanistan must limit dependence on investments driven mainly by external strategic interests. Maintaining control over its lithium reserves is equally critical, necessitating a robust national framework for extraction and processing.
However, as things currently stand, the Taliban cannot commercialize Afghanistan’s mining sector, including lithium, without outside help. The Taliban’s mining portfolio is mostly comprised of minerals that can be mined and/or processed with limited capital and technology.
To truly benefit from its mineral wealth, Afghanistan must improve its governance and human rights. The country is plagued by corruption, lack of transparency, and weak rule of law and these are considered barriers to sustainable development.
Afghanistan’s significant but largely unexploited mineral reserves are valued at an estimated $1-3 trillion. However, that estimate does not consider the extraordinarily high cost of accessing the reserves.
Speculation of China’s dominance over Afghanistan’s mineral resources, following the U.S. withdrawal in 2021, and India’s competing interest in lithium for electric vehicle production as part of its Sustainable Development Goals (SDG) achievements by 2030, further complicate this issue.