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The price war for power batteries is intensifying, with the world''s two largest battery makers reportedly pushing battery costs down further.
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BNEF''s bottom-up battery cost model shows how close average prices are now to estimated manufacturing costs, indicating that margins for
Now we''re going to be able to domestically supply our own batteries and battery materials and then prices crash through the floor. So I guess two questions there that I want to delve into.
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Demand for power batteries in China was steady overall in July, but battery material costs continued to fall, resulting in a slight downward trend in battery cell prices,
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EPC firm Power China''s recent 16GWh BESS supply tender has seen very low prices bid, amidst a squeeze of market share from state-owned firms.
The average lithium-ion battery price dropped to $139/kWh in 2023 according to BloombergNEF. But wait, no – that''s just the cell cost. When you factor in racks, cooling systems, and
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BloombergNEF''s annual battery price survey finds a 14% drop from 2022 to 2023 New York, November 27, 2023 – Following unprecedented price increases in 2022, battery prices are falling again this year. The price of
New York, December 10, 2024 – Battery prices saw their biggest annual drop since 2017. Lithium-ion battery pack prices dropped 20% from 2023 to a record low of $115 per kilowatt-hour, according to analysis by research provider
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BNEF''s Levelized Cost of Electricity report indicates that the global benchmark cost for battery storage projects fell by a third in 2024 to $104 per megawatt-hour (MWh), as a
On average, the cost of lithium-ion battery cells can range from $0.3 to $0.5 per watt-hour. For a 2MW (2,000 kilowatts) battery storage system, if we assume an average
And again, crazy numbers coming out of China in terms of stationary energy storage, costs, not just at the cell level but at the system level. At a system level for turnkey system, you’re looking at something like $135 per kilowatt-hour. So again, crazy low considering that 18 months ago the average price of a cell was about $135 per kilowatt-hour.
BloombergNEF put out a stat that I’ve heard cited like many times since then, a couple months ago that LFP battery cells in China on the spot market were selling for $53 a kilowatt-hour. Just truly bananas cheap relative to what you would’ve expected even just a couple of years ago.
And I plugged some numbers earlier into the model from BloombergNEF and looking the difference between the US and China. So for a LFP cell produced in China, 35 gigawatt hour facility, you’re looking at around $68 per kilowatt-hour.
And so on the other side of that, there would still be a few really, really large Chinese PV manufacturers who just had the capacity and the capital and the support to withstand a temporary crash in prices and removal of margin effectively. But Western manufacturers really struggled with that and just didn’t have the capacity to weather the storm.
The market is cyclical and you’d have periods of oversupply and prices would crash as we are seeing now, in battery world. And one of the things that would happen in that crash is that you would see a shakeout in China. A bunch of companies would disappear and fail. But the bigger ones at least could withstand zero to negative margins for a while.
